Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +6 (119-113). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Lawson * | 38 | 8-20 | 0-6 | 11-12 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 33 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Wilson Chandler | 27 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Andre Miller | 27 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 24 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 37 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| John Wall * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 26 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Trevor Ariza | 26 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| AJ Price | 15 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Trevor Booker | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Chris Singleton | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter