Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +2 (100-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 42 | 11-24 | 1-8 | 9-11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 17 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 31 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| JR Smith | 33 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Steve Novak | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 41 | 11-23 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 18 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Landry Fields * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Amir Johnson | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Alan Anderson | 22 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| John Lucas III | 14 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter