Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LA Clippers -26 (90-116). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 28 | 12-16 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 25 | - |
| Danny Green * | 27 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 25 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Boris Diaw | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Stephen Jackson | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Nando De Colo | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| DeJuan Blair | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Patty Mills | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Aron Baynes | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin * | 29 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 32 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 26 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Willie Green | 13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Grant Hill | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter