Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +11 (96-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 25 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 25 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Bradley Beal | 34 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Trevor Ariza | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Chris Singleton | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| AJ Price | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Trevor Booker | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Singler * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 36 | 9-17 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 28 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Will Bynum | 21 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey | 19 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Viacheslav Kravtsov | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter