Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +11 (119-108). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Lawson * | 37 | 8-11 | 5-5 | 5-7 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Andre Miller | 28 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 19 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Randolph | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Evan Fournier | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 42 | 10-19 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 38 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 35 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Tyshawn Taylor | 15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Keith Bogans | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Andray Blatche | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter