Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -1 (95-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Danny Green * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 25 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Gary Neal | 25 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Boris Diaw | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| DeJuan Blair | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Nando De Colo | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Zeller * | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 31 | 2-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| CJ Miles | 20 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Luke Walton | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 15 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
* = starter