Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -12 (90-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nene Hilario * | 37 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 28 | - |
| John Wall * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bradley Beal | 36 | 10-17 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Trevor Ariza | 32 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Chris Singleton | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| AJ Price | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 43 | 9-21 | 0-4 | 6-9 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 39 | 3-17 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 34 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 29 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 20 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| John Henson | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Joel Przybilla | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter