Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +6 (117-111). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 39 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 8-11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 34 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 34 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 27 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 29 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Patrick Beverley | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Cole Aldrich | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Salmons * | 36 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 7-7 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 13-13 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 23 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Francisco Garcia | 17 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Thomas Robinson | 15 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter