Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -25 (86-111). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 12-21 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 28 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Danny Green * | 28 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 23 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Stephen Jackson | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Gary Neal | 19 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Nando De Colo | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| DeJuan Blair | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Aron Baynes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Patty Mills | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 35 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 32 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| Keith Bogans | 21 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Watson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Andray Blatche | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tyshawn Taylor | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter