Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +13 (102-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greivis Vasquez * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 33 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 14 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jason Smith | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Xavier Henry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darius Miller | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 40 | 8-19 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Alan Anderson | 30 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| John Lucas III | 19 | 7-11 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Landry Fields | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Gray | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter