Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -6 (94-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 40 | 13-26 | 2-9 | 8-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 21 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 37 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| JR Smith | 35 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Steve Novak | 13 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kurt Thomas | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Rubio * | 38 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 36 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 36 | 9-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alexey Shved | 26 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter