Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +31 (127-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 35 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Michael Beasley | 29 | 10-16 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 24 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Shannon Brown | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kendall Marshall | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Wesley Johnson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Luke Zeller | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 30 | 5-11 | 4-5 | 7-7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 26 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 25 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 25 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 20 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Reggie Jackson | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nick Collison | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Perry Jones III | 6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Eric Maynor | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Daniel Orton | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter