Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -2 (98-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 43 | 9-25 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 10 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 40 | 7-17 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani | 29 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| John Lucas III | 18 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Alan Anderson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 47 | 8-19 | 5-10 | 5-6 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 25 | - |
| David West * | 40 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 38 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| George Hill * | 38 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Orlando Johnson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Gerald Green | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter