Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +11 (103-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 35 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 24 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Austin Daye | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ed Davis | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Tony Wroten | 8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 41 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Al Horford * | 35 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 35 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 35 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| John Jenkins | 22 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Devin Harris | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Johan Petro | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mike Scott | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter