Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +7 (98-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Thompson * | 44 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 39 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 6-10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| John Salmons * | 36 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 25 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Thomas Robinson | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| James Johnson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Williams * | 41 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 38 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alec Burks | 31 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter