Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -2 (98-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 38 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 27 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 38 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 12 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Victor Claver | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Will Barton | 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Pekovic * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 28 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Alexey Shved | 26 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 26 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
* = starter