Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +17 (78-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Harkless * | 43 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 37 | 9-17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 33 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Gustavo Ayon | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 40 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 36 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Nick Young * | 36 | 7-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Royal Ivey | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Shelvin Mack | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter