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Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“
Margin 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.4% 34.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons -1 (97-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Earl Clark * 41 6-11 1-3 4-6 10 1 2 2 0 17 21 -
Pau Gasol * 40 10-18 0-0 3-4 10 3 2 0 2 23 18 -
Kobe Bryant * 37 8-20 0-3 2-3 3 5 2 0 3 18 5 -
Metta World Peace * 36 3-8 1-4 1-2 9 2 1 1 1 8 12 -
Steve Nash * 33 5-10 0-2 1-3 5 10 0 0 4 11 12 -
Antawn Jamison 25 3-8 1-3 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
Steve Blake 15 2-5 2-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 6 3 -
Jodie Meeks 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 5 1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Kyle Singler * 40 4-12 2-4 1-2 6 1 0 0 2 11 4 -
Brandon Knight * 33 3-13 0-3 4-4 5 7 3 0 3 10 9 -
Greg Monroe * 32 9-14 0-0 2-2 12 2 0 2 4 20 18 -
Jason Maxiell * 24 3-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 2 2 1 8 9 -
Rodney Stuckey * 23 3-6 0-1 0-0 0 5 0 0 1 6 4 -
Will Bynum 29 9-18 0-1 0-1 1 10 1 0 3 18 9 -
Andre Drummond 23 4-10 0-0 1-4 11 1 2 4 0 9 17 -
Charlie Villanueva 15 4-9 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 10 4 -
Jonas Jerebko 10 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
Kim English 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter