Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +20 (113-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 32 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Michael Beasley | 33 | 10-23 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 5 | - |
| Kendall Marshall | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shannon Brown | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Wesley Johnson | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Luke Zeller | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Diante Garrett | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 42 | 11-20 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 19 | - |
| David Lee * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 20 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Carl Landry | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Draymond Green | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Festus Ezeli | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Charles Jenkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter