Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +29 (115-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 19 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Jason Smith | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Xavier Henry | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Darius Miller | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 26 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Alexey Shved | 25 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 24 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale | 21 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter