Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +14 (109-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemba Walker * | 42 | 10-23 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 32 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jeff Adrien * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor | 28 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 28 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 20 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Brendan Haywood | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Parsons * | 43 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| James Harden * | 40 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 31 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 37 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 28 | 10-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 19 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Cole Aldrich | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter