Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -11 (100-111). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 38 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 37 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 37 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 27 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Antawn Jamison | 28 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Steve Blake | 18 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 16 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Pekovic * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 31 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Alexey Shved | 26 | 6-16 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 23 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter