Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +15 (113-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greivis Vasquez * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 36 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Darius Miller | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Xavier Henry | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jason Smith | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 37 | 10-14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 36 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Andre Miller | 23 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 23 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Wilson Chandler | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter