Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +9 (85-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emeka Okafor * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 33 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| John Wall * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| AJ Price | 24 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 23 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Ariza | 20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Trevor Booker | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ed Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Austin Daye | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Tony Wroten | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter