Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +18 (117-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 28 | 9-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 29 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 22 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| CJ Miles | 21 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Jones | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Omri Casspi | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Singler * | 36 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 35 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 31 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Andre Drummond | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Will Bynum | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Kim English | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Viacheslav Kravtsov | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter