Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +10 (96-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 37 | 7-20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 37 | 5-18 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 34 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 30 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 29 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 18 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tobias Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 43 | 7-22 | 3-8 | 8-12 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 36 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 22 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| JR Smith | 35 | 6-14 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Steve Novak | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| James White | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Chris Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter