Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +13 (97-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nicholson * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 32 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore | 24 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu | 17 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Ish Smith | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| DeQuan Jones | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gustavo Ayon | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Lee * | 38 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 28 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 22 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Green | 29 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa | 26 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jason Collins | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Wilcox | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Fab Melo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter