Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +6 (92-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 38 | 7-17 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 33 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Pau Gasol | 37 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Steve Blake | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Antawn Jamison | 12 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Michael Beasley | 34 | 12-20 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Shannon Brown | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter