Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +5 (104-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin Lopez * | 38 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 38 | 8-21 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 30 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 21 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 26 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Xavier Henry | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jason Smith | 11 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Darius Miller | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Williams * | 36 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 4-7 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 11-16 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 34 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Earl Watson | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Alec Burks | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter