Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +18 (99-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Evans * | 41 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 23 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Thomas Robinson | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Travis Outlaw | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| James Johnson | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tyler Honeycutt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jason Terry | 22 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Green | 20 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Chris Wilcox | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jason Collins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter