Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -45 (80-125). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 27 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 24 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 23 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 21 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Greg Smith | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 14 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Patrick Beverley | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| James Anderson | 9 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Cole Aldrich | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas | 7 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Foye * | 29 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 28 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 21 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 18 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Alec Burks | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Murphy | 12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Earl Watson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter