Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -3 (100-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 43 | 10-15 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 41 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 40 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 25 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tony Wroten | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 40 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 40 | 11-19 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 39 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 36 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nick Young * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Royal Ivey | 17 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kwame Brown | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shelvin Mack | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter