Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +2 (106-104). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Korver * | 41 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 40 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 36 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Al Horford * | 33 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 29 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jannero Pargo | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Jenkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 44 | 15-28 | 9-12 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 16 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 36 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 19 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| JR Smith | 36 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Steve Novak | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kurt Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| James White | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter