Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (109-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 38 | 8-21 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 | - |
| David Lee * | 37 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 8-19 | 5-9 | 5-5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 34 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Carl Landry | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Draymond Green | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Charles Jenkins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 38 | 7-20 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 38 | 6-15 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 34 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 20 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 17 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter