Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +13 (86-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 44 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 43 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 32 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 16 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Nate Robinson | 28 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marquis Teague | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nene Hilario * | 30 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | - |
| John Wall * | 27 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Trevor Ariza | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| AJ Price | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 18 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Trevor Booker | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter