Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -1 (98-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 13-26 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 13 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 24 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Gibson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Johnson * | 37 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Landry Fields * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Alan Anderson | 31 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Lowry | 21 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Quincy Acy | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter