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2013-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 80.3% 19.7% -5.0 โœ— (25.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 64.0% 36.0% - โœ—
Margin 62.2% 37.8% -2.7 โœ— (22.7 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 69.3% 30.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 69.4% 30.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.7% 43.3% - โœ—

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +20 (100-80). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lance Stephenson * 40 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 2 2 -
Paul George * 36 8-19 3-8 3-3 7 2 2 0 3 22 11 -
George Hill * 36 5-14 1-7 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 11 -1 -
David West * 34 8-15 0-0 5-6 5 3 1 0 1 21 14 -
Roy Hibbert * 31 4-10 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 1 2 9 6 -
D.J. Augustin 19 2-7 2-5 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 6 3 -
Ian Mahinmi 16 2-5 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 1 1 8 7 -
Tyler Hansbrough 13 0-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Orlando Johnson 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 3 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wesley Matthews * 38 4-11 0-3 2-2 1 5 0 1 1 10 5 -
Damian Lillard * 38 9-16 0-3 2-2 2 8 0 0 0 20 14 -
Nicolas Batum * 36 4-10 2-5 0-0 5 8 1 1 4 10 11 -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 36 12-17 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 1 3 27 15 -
JJ Hickson * 30 7-10 0-0 0-0 13 3 0 0 4 14 16 -
Will Barton 20 3-7 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 2 8 5 -
Meyers Leonard 18 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 8 9 -
Jared Jeffries 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 3 6 -
Ronnie Price 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
Luke Babbitt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nolan Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter