Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +20 (100-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Stephenson * | 40 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Paul George * | 36 | 8-19 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | - |
| George Hill * | 36 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| David West * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 19 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Orlando Johnson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 38 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 36 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 36 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 15 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Will Barton | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jared Jeffries | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter