Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +13 (106-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earl Clark * | 40 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 38 | 11-23 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 11 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 35 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Pau Gasol | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Antawn Jamison | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Chris Duhon | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Darius Morris | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 36 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 33 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 27 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Tony Wroten | 18 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter