Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -5 (85-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 30 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Danny Green * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Gary Neal | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Boris Diaw | 17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Jackson | 14 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Nando De Colo | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Turner * | 42 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 38 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 37 | 7-20 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Lavoy Allen * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 34 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Nick Young | 30 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Royal Ivey | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shelvin Mack | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter