Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +8 (104-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Williams * | 37 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 22 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 37 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| John Jenkins * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 35 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jannero Pargo | 25 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Mike Scott | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
* = starter