Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +9 (114-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 40 | 11-17 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 39 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| John Salmons * | 29 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Travis Outlaw | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| James Johnson | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Francisco Garcia | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 10 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Thomas Robinson | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greivis Vasquez * | 37 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 34 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 29 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 34 | 10-22 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Jason Smith | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter