Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -1 (81-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 42 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| David West * | 35 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| George Hill * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Orlando Johnson | 11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Green | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 39 | 7-22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 33 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 25 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter