Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +3 (121-118). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 48 | 7-20 | 3-10 | 20-21 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 29 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 48 | 10-26 | 1-7 | 15-17 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 20 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 41 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 37 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Nick Collison | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Reggie Jackson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Lawson * | 44 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 40 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 37 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 5-8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 34 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Andre Miller | 28 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Wilson Chandler | 16 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter