Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -6 (104-110). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Jennings * | 37 | 9-20 | 0-4 | 12-15 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 34 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 26 | 10-14 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 31 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 29 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Henson | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 41 | 9-21 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 40 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 39 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 38 | 8-18 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 24 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Will Barton | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Victor Claver | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jared Jeffries | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter