Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +13 (92-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 38 | 5-18 | 0-7 | 8-10 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 34 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 33 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 33 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Greg Smith | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Patrick Beverley | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 41 | 8-11 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 36 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 24 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -2 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter