Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +6 (103-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 42 | 15-25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 22 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 42 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 35 | 3-15 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 33 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 23 | 4-13 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Jared Jeffries | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Will Barton | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Victor Claver | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 43 | 7-22 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 4 | - |
| David Lee * | 35 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Carl Landry | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Draymond Green | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Charles Jenkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter