Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -16 (87-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Monroe * | 34 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 34 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 28 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey | 22 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Austin Daye | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Andre Drummond | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 17 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Will Bynum | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Kim English | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Jennings * | 29 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 26 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 26 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 20 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Drew Gooden | 12 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| John Henson | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tobias Harris | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter