Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +12 (104-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Cunningham * | 38 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Derrick Williams | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Ricky Rubio | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 28 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 26 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 25 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 21 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jason Smith | 20 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 10 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Donald Sloan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Xavier Henry | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter