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Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 27.5% 72.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Margin 34.6% 65.4% - โœ—
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 38.5% 61.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% - โœ—

Actual: New York Knicks -7 (101-108). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 42 13-18 3-5 4-4 5 4 1 1 5 33 21 -
Kirk Hinrich * 37 1-5 0-3 4-4 4 7 3 1 2 6 14 -
Carlos Boozer * 35 6-14 0-0 5-6 6 2 0 0 3 17 8 -
Joakim Noah * 29 2-2 0-0 5-6 8 4 2 4 3 9 22 -
Richard Hamilton * 19 6-9 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 14 8 -
Marco Belinelli 28 3-6 1-2 5-8 3 5 1 0 2 12 13 -
Taj Gibson 21 6-7 0-0 0-4 3 2 1 0 2 12 9 -
Jimmy Butler III 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Nate Robinson 10 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Nazr Mohammed 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Carmelo Anthony * 45 14-32 4-9 7-9 8 5 1 1 3 39 19 -
Tyson Chandler * 38 3-8 0-0 3-6 18 2 1 1 2 9 21 -
Jason Kidd * 19 0-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
James White * 16 4-7 2-2 1-2 2 1 3 0 0 11 10 -
Kurt Thomas * 9 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 6 6 -
JR Smith 38 4-17 1-3 4-4 3 1 0 1 1 13 0 -
Pablo Prigioni 30 5-7 2-3 0-0 1 8 3 0 5 12 12 -
Amar'e Stoudemire 18 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Steve Novak 16 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
Chris Copeland 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter